LIVE MARKET DATA · Kalshi · 1,974 markets
Independent forecasting intelligence

Know what's likely.Know why.

LikelyIQ generates independent probabilities, compares them with prediction markets, and shows where the two disagree.

Live Sports Market Signals

Live Sports Market Signals

Deterministic sportsbook consensus and market agreement from approved U.S. sportsbooks. Market intelligence, not a Verified LikelyIQ AI Signal.

SPORTS MARKET SIGNALNCAAFToday
Older market snapshot (Delayed)

Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins

Market Consensus
78.7%
UCLA Bruins
Contributing Books
2 Books
DraftKings, FanDuel
Market Agreement
Strong Agreement
0.9 pp range across books

Market Intelligence: Based on sportsbook market consensus. This is market intelligence, not a Verified LikelyIQ AI Signal.

View Sports IQ
SPORTS MARKET SIGNALNCAAFToday
Older market snapshot (Delayed)

Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State Buckeyes

Market Consensus
76.5%
Ohio State Buckeyes
Contributing Books
2 Books
DraftKings, FanDuel
Market Agreement
Strong Agreement
1.3 pp range across books

Market Intelligence: Based on sportsbook market consensus. This is market intelligence, not a Verified LikelyIQ AI Signal.

View Sports IQ
SPORTS MARKET SIGNALNFLTomorrow
Older market snapshot (Delayed)

New England Patriots at Detroit Lions

Market Consensus
50.7%
New England Patriots
Contributing Books
3 Books
BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
Market Agreement
Split Market
2.6 pp range across books

Market Intelligence: Based on sportsbook market consensus. This is market intelligence, not a Verified LikelyIQ AI Signal.

View Sports IQ
SPORTS MARKET SIGNALNFLTomorrow
Older market snapshot (Delayed)

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

Market Consensus
54.0%
Indianapolis Colts
Contributing Books
3 Books
BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
Market Agreement
Strong Agreement
2.7 pp range across books

Market Intelligence: Based on sportsbook market consensus. This is market intelligence, not a Verified LikelyIQ AI Signal.

View Sports IQ
Sports IQ

Sports IQ — Upcoming matchups

Latest sportsbook consensus and quote age. This is market information, not a LikelyIQ prediction.

Explore Sports IQ
Sportsbook consensus

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers

Starts Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Quote age 6d ago · Delayed

A complete two-team consensus is not available in this public snapshot.

Sportsbook consensus

Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA Bruins

Starts Nov 14, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Quote age 6d ago · Delayed

A complete two-team consensus is not available in this public snapshot.

Sportsbook consensus

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs

Starts Nov 14, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC

Quote age 6d ago · Delayed

A complete two-team consensus is not available in this public snapshot.

Where LikelyIQ disagrees

Where LikelyIQ disagrees with the market

IQ Gap compares LikelyIQ's stored estimate with the market probability frozen when that Signal was generated. It is not a live-price claim.

Large gaps invite closer reading; they are not recommendations or guarantees.

A disagreement appears only when a public Signal includes a valid frozen market benchmark.
How LikelyIQ works

From independent estimate to readable proof.

01

Compare

LikelyIQ presents an independent probability beside a prediction-market benchmark.

02

Freeze the reference

The market probability is stored at Signal generation, so the comparison stays reproducible.

03

Read the rationale

Open a Signal to review its public rationale, confidence, and underlying context.

Verified performance tracking

Resolved snapshots stay separate from live Signals.

LikelyIQ and the frozen Market-at-Signal benchmark are evaluated against the same recorded outcomes.

View performance
Resolved
10
LikelyIQ Brier
0.630
Market Brier
0.126

Brier scores are lower-is-better probability accuracy measures. Historical results are not a guarantee of future accuracy.

LikelyIQ+ · Coming soon

More room for the tools already in LikelyIQ.

LikelyIQ+ expands existing limits: up to 100 Ask LikelyIQ questions per day, 250 saved markets, and 100 active alerts.

View LikelyIQ+ details
LikelyIQ is informational forecasting software. It does not accept wagers, execute trades, or present probabilities as guarantees.